Football / live pricing

Football Odds Tracker

Inputs stay beside the chart, log and linear scale buttons now work properly, and the live model reacts much harder to real goal events instead of drifting into unrealistic pre-goal swings.

Settings

Control stoppage time, expected goals and how tight the market should look.

Model settings

1st half stoppage2nd half stoppage

Market tightness (%)Use this to keep prices slightly tighter than a pure fair model.

Expected goals line

Match input

Set teams, starting 1X2 odds and reset the scenario when needed.

Match setup

Home teamAway team

Starting 1X2 odds

HomeDrawAway

Saved: —

Timeline

Add goals and follow how the chart reacts minute by minute.

Match events

Home team 0 - 0 Away team

Goal minute

Timeline

No goals added yet.

Live 1X2 chart

Cleaner chart, no range shading, and a stronger live reaction after goals.

Home team

Draw

Away team

Save the starting 1X2 odds to generate the chart.

Guide

How to use this football calculator

Start with realistic pre-match 1X2 odds, choose the expected goals line, then add goals at the correct minute. The model is still heuristic, but it now puts much more weight on the actual scoring event and avoids the kind of pre-goal drift that made the previous version look wrong.